PENGARUH PENGELUARAN PEMERINTAH, INVESTASI PEMERINTAH, INVESTASI SWASTA DAN TENAGA KERJA TERHADAP PERTUMBUHAN EKONOMI DI PULAU JAWA TAHUN 2011 - 2015
Abstract
Abstrak - Tujuan penelitian ini adalah untuk menguji apakah terdapat pengaruh pengeluaran pemerintah, investasi pemerintah, investasi swasta dan tenaga kerja terhadap pertumbuhan ekonomi di pulau Jawa. Populasi target dalam penelitian ini adalah seluruh provinsi yang terdapat di pulau Jawa yaitu DKI Jakarta, Banten, Jawa Barat, Jawa Tengah, Jawa Timur dan Daerah Istimewa Yogyakarta. Data yang digunakan dalam penelitian ini yaitu PDRB yang diperoleh dari BPS, pengeluaran pemerintah yang diukur dari belanja daerah yang diperoleh dari perhitungan APBD, investasi pemerintah berupa penyertaan modal daerah yang diperoleh dari perhitungan APBD, investasi swasta berupa kredit perbankan masing-masing provinsi yang diperoleh dari Kajian Ekonomi Regional yang diterbitkan oleh Bank Indonesia dengan periode pengamatan tahun 2011-2015. Penelitian ini menggunakan metode kuantitatif dan pengujian model penelitian menggunakan analisis regresi linier berganda. Hasil pengujian hipotesis menunjukkan bahwa pengeluaran pemerintah, investasi swasta dan tenaga kerja berpengaruh positif terhadap pertumbuhan ekonomi di pulau Jawa. Pengaruh dari seluruh variabel independen terhadap variabel dependen adalah sebesar 97% dan sisanya sebesar 3% merupakan pengaruh variabel lain yang tidak diteliti dalam penelitian ini. Sedangkan korelasi seluruh variabel indenpenden dengan variabel dependennya menunjukkan korelasi yang tinggi yaitu sebesar 0,989.
Kata Kunci: pengeluaran pemerintah, investasi pemerintah, investasi swasta, tenaga kerja, pertumbuhan ekonomi
Abstract - The purpose of this study is to examine whether there is influence of government spending, government investment, private investment and labor on economic growth in Java. Target population in this study are all provinces in Java Island, namely DKI Jakarta, Banten, West Java, Central Java, East Java and Yogyakarta Special Region. The data used in this study are PDRB obtained from BPS, government expenditure measured from regional expenditure obtained from the calculation of APBD, government investment in the form of local capital participation obtained from the calculation of APBD, private investment in the form of credit banking each province obtained from Regional Economic Review published by Bank Indonesia with observation period of 2011-2015. This research uses quantitative method and research model test using multiple linear regression analysis. The result of hypothesis testing shows that government expenditure, private investment and labor have positive effect to economic growth in Java Island. The effect of all independent variables on the dependent variable is 97% and the remaining 3% is the influence of other variables that are not examined in this study. While the correlation of all indenpendent variables with the dependent variable shows a high correlation of 0.989.
Keywords: government expenditure, government investment, private investment, labor, economic growth
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